Expert Judgment. The use of expert judgment in humanitarian analysis. Theory, methods and applications

With this study on the use of expert judgment in humanitarian analysis, ACAPS explores the theory of expert judgment. The note provides methods for the elicitation of expert judgement and several case studies to illustrate its practical applicability within humanitarian contexts. The overall objective of this work is to enhance the use of expert judgment in humanitarian settings. The summary and full note speak primarily to humanitarian analysts who oversee the production of expert judgment, but it is also instructive for decision-makers, the experts themselves and for interested stakeholders.

Summary:

https://www.acaps.org/sites/acaps/files/slides/files/acaps_expert_judgment_-_summary_august_2017.pdf

Report:

https://www.acaps.org/sites/acaps/files/resources/files/acaps_expert_judgment_-_full_study_august_2017.pdf

 

Update: Durable Solutions for Syrian Refugees

The security situation in the Syrian Arab Republic (Syria) remains fluid, and complex patterns of conflict and displacement continue in many areas. An estimated 1.1 million displacements were recorded in the first half of 2017, at an average of 7,300 displacements per day, notably in the context of the Ar-Raqqa offensive. Between January and May 2017, some 450,000 IDPs were estimated to have returned to their community of origin, 303,500 of whom in Aleppo Governorate. The estimated total number of IDPs remained at 6.3 million as of 31 March 2017, and some 13.5 million people remain in need of humanitarian assistance within Syria according to OCHA statistics.

http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/UpdateonDurableSolutionsforSyrianRefugees-7August2017.pdf

 

“Refugiadas. La trata con fines de explotación sexual en el contexto de militarización y cierre de fronteras”

Esta publicación es fruto de la investigación realizada por CEAR-Euskadi en los últimos dos años, y que bebe del trabajo de muchas compañeras y compañeros de CEAR y de otras organizaciones que han acompañado esta realidad desde hace tiempo. El informe propone una breve aproximación a la trata con fines de explotación sexual como una persecución por motivos de género para contribuir a identificar a las mujeres extranjeras que la sufren como mujeres refugiadas. En él se posiciona la trata como una de las más graves consecuencias del control y militarización de las fronteras, y se abordan sus consecuencias en los cuerpos y las vidas de las mujeres.Esta publicación es fruto de la investigación realizada por CEAR-Euskadi en los últimos dos años, y que bebe del trabajo de muchas compañeras y compañeros de CEAR y de otras organizaciones que han acompañado esta realidad desde hace tiempo. El informe propone una breve aproximación a la trata con fines de explotación sexual como una persecución por motivos de género para contribuir a identificar a las mujeres extranjeras que la sufren como mujeres refugiadas. En él se posiciona la trata como una de las más graves consecuencias del control y militarización de las fronteras, y se abordan sus consecuencias en los cuerpos y las vidas de las mujeres.

https://www.cear-euskadi.org/producto/refugiadas-la-trata-fines-explotacion-sexual-contexto-militarizacion-cierre-fronteras/

 

Pakistan. Security Situation. EASO Country of Origin Information Report.

European Asylum Support Office (EASO) published a Country of Origin Information (COI) Report entitled ‘Pakistan security situation’. The report is the second update of the security chapter of the EASO COI report on Pakistan, Country Overview, published in August 2015, first updated in July 2016, and provides information relevant for the protection status determination of Pakistani asylum seekers.

https://coi.easo.europa.eu/administration/easo/PLib/PakistanSecuritySituation2017.PDF

 

Peligro: Derechos en venta. El proyecto del Gran Canal Interoceánico de Nicaragua y la erosión de los derechos humanos

Número de índice: AMR 43/6515/2017. La historia de Nicaragua recordará el 13 de junio de 2013 como una fecha trascendental. En ese día, la Asamblea Nacional adoptó la “Ley Especial para el Desarrollo de Infraestructuras y Transporte “Ley Especial para el Desarrollo de Infraestructuras y Transporte Nicaragüense Atingente a El Canal, Zonas de Libre Comercio e Infraestructuras Asociadas” (Ley 840). Esta Ley dio el visto bueno para otorgar la concesión, diseño y desarrollo de uno de los proyectos de ingeniería más ambiciosos del mundo: El Gran Canal Interoceánico y sus Sub-Proyectos asociados (el Proyecto).

https://www.amnesty.org/download/Documents/AMR4365152017SPANISH.PDF

 

Kenya: 10 years after electoral violences, Security and Justice reforms remain key

Regardless of the outcome of next week’s General Election, it is vital that Kenya continues to strengthen its reforms in the security and judiciary sectors, underlines a new report published today by FIDH and KHRC. Entitled « Kenya’s Scorecard on Security and Justice : Broken Promises and Unfinished business », this report provides a mixed assessment of the reforms launched after the 2007 / 2008 post-election violence (PEV). As the world awaits to see how the upcoming elections will unfold, it is essential to remember that improving scrutiny of police operations and fighting against impunity are the basis for avoiding history repeating itself in Kenya.

https://www.fidh.org/IMG/pdf/report_kenya_fidh_khrc.PDF

 

Iran: Caught in a web of repression: Iran’s human rights defenders under attack

Index number: MDE 13/6446/2017. The Iranian authorities are intensifying their crackdown against human rights defenders, who have already been working under suffocating levels of repression. Human rights defenders are routinely portrayed in official statements and court verdicts as “criminals” and “foreign agents” bent on harming national security. Since 2013, dozens of human rights defenders have been imprisoned on spurious national security-related charges based solely on their peaceful human rights activities. Many others have faced surveillance, interrogations and drawn-out prosecutions, coercing them into silence. Amnesty International urges the Iranian authorities to release all imprisoned human rights defenders immediately and unconditionally, and to create a safe and enabling environment in which defenders can defend and promote human rights without fear of reprisals.

https://www.amnesty.org/download/Documents/MDE1364462017ENGLISH.PDF

 

Cameroon’s Anglophone Crisis at the Crossroads

Africa Report N°250. Since October 2016, protests and strikes related to sectoral demands have escalated into a crisis over the economic and political marginalisation of Cameroon’s Anglophone minority. Although the government has made some concessions, it must rebuild mutual trust with Anglophone actors in order to avoid instability ahead of the 2018 general elections.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/250-cameroons-anglophone-crisis-at-the-crossroads.pdf

 

“Soldiers Assume We Are Rebels”. Escalating Violence and Abuses in South Sudan’s Equatorias

This report documents the spreading violence and serious abuses against civilians in the Greater Equatoria region in the last year. The report focuses on two areas: Kajo Keji county, in the former Central Equatoria state, and Pajok, a town in the former Eastern Equatoria state.

https://www.hrw.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf/southsudan0817_web.pdf

 

How Libya’s Fezzan Became Europe’s New Border

Middle East and North Africa Report N°179. The principal gateway into Europe for refugees and migrants runs through the power vacuum in southern Libya’s Fezzan region. Any effort by European policymakers to stabilise Fezzan must be part of a national-level strategy aimed at developing Libya’s licit economy and reaching political normalisation.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/179-how-libyas-fezzan-became-europes-new-border.pdf