International Crisis Group

Managing the Disruptive Aftermath of Somalia’s Worst Terror Attack

The 14 October 2017 twin bombings in Mogadishu mark the deadliest attack in Somalia since 2007. As Somalis unite in their disgust at AlShabaab, the most likely perpetrator, President Farmajo must immediately provide care for victims and use surging support for the government to redouble efforts aimed at overcoming the divisions in Somalia’s society that make AlShabaab such a persistent threat.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/b131-managing-disruptive-aftermath-ofsomalias-worst-terror-attack.pdf

Cameroon’s Worsening Anglophone Crisis Calls for Strong Measures

Against a backdrop of bomb blasts, sporadic violence and repressive state measures, Cameroon’s Anglophone crisis has entered a new and intensified phase. In order to prevent the outbreak of an armed uprising, Cameroon’s president must go beyond superficial measures by urgently implementing key reforms and pursuing inclusive, high-level dialogue mediated by the UN or African Union.

Inglés:

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/b130-cameroon-a-worsening-anglophone-crisis-calls-for-strong-measures.pdf

Francés:

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/b130-cameroun-laggravation-de-la-crise-anglophone%20_0.pdf

Los grupos armados de Colombia y su disputa por el botín de la paz

El acuerdo de paz colombiano de 2016 ha llevado a más de 10.000 guerrilleros de las FARC al umbral de la vida civil. Sin embargo, en el camino ha dejado a grupos rivales luchando por el control de los territorios desalojados y por el rentable cultivo de coca. Para contener la floreciente producción de estupefacientes y frenar la expansión de grupos no estatales, el Gobierno colombiano deberá proporcionar medios de subsistencia alternativos para los campesinos locales, así como desarrollar mejoras en la seguridad y la gobernanza a nivel comunitario.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/063-los-grupos-armados-de-colombia-y-su-disputa-spanish%20.pdf

Oil and Borders: How to Fix Iraq’s Kurdish Crisis

September’s independence referendum in Iraqi Kurdistan has pushed Baghdad to take control of Kirkuk and its oil fields from Kurdish control. To avert the threat of further direct confrontation, the two sides must agree to a reinvigorated UN-led effort to settle longstanding disputes over internal boundaries and shared oil revenues.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/B055-oil-and-borders-how-to-fix-iraqs-kurdish-crisis%20.pdf

Time to Reset African Union-European Union Relations

Relations between the African Union (AU) and European Union (EU) reached a nadir in 2016 following serious disagreements over European payments to AU peacekeepers in Somalia. The fifth AU-EU summit in November presents a chance to reinvigorate the partnership if both sides can deal openly with disagreements, address deep-seated mutual frustration and agree to tackle the root causes driving migrants toward Europe.

Inglés:

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/255-time-to-reset-african-union-european-union-relations.pdf

Francés:

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/255-nouveau-d%C3%A9part-pour-les-relations-entre-l-union-africaine-et-l-union-europeenne-fr.pdf

The Social Roots of Jihadist Violence in Burkina Faso’s North

Jihadist violence in the West African Sahel has now spread to the north of Burkina Faso. The response of Ouagadougou and its partners must go beyond the obvious religious and security dimensions of the crisis, and any solution must take into account deep-rooted social and local factors.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/254-nord-du-burkina-faso-ce-que-cache-le-jihad.pdf

 

Discord in Yemen’s North Could Be a Chance for Peace

Since August, a public rift has surfaced between the two main partners on the northern front of Yemen’s war – the forces loyal to the Huthis and Ali Abdullah Saleh. Rather than fostering its rivals’ discord, key powerbroker Saudi Arabia should seize this rare chance to resolve the two-and-a-half year war by championing a new regional initiative.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/b054-discord-in-yemens-north-could-be-a-chance-for-peace_0.pdf

 

The Rising Risks of Misrule in Tajikistan

With his seven-year term set to end in 2020, uncertainty is growing over whether Tajikistan’s long-time ruler President Rahmon will handpick a successor or continue his reign. Growing troubles at home and abroad ensure both scenarios are fraught with risk and must be managed prudently, lest the country become another source of regional disorder.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/B86-the-rising-risks-of-misrule-in-tajikistan.pdf

 

Avoiding the Worst in Central African Republic

Resurgent armed groups in Central African Republic are killing many civilians and causing widespread displacement. Government forces and the UN are in a weak position, and there are no quick solutions. To contain the violence, the government and international actors must agree on a roadmap for peace with armed groups that combines both incentives and coercive measures.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/253-eviter-le-pire-enr%C3%A9publique-centrafricaine.pdf

Herders against Farmers: Nigeria’s Expanding Deadly Conflict

Propelled by desertification, insecurity and the loss of grazing land to expanding settlements, the southward migration of Nigeria’s herders is causing violent competition over land with local farmers. To prevent the crisis from escalating, the government should strengthen security for herders and farmers, implement conflict resolution mechanisms and establish grazing reserves.

https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/252-nigerias-spreading-herder-farmer-conflict.pdf